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  • 2 days ago
Transcript
00:00An ALCS rematch from a postseason ago between the Guardians and the Yankees.
00:05New York enters today a slight road favorite.
00:08They had a great weekend down in Tampa, winning three of four against the Rays.
00:13Minus 122 the price to back the Pinstripes today as a road favorite in Cleveland.
00:19Total at eight and a half.
00:20The Guardians, a weekend sweep over the Pirates.
00:23DRS, Cleveland started three and six.
00:25Pretty poor beginning to this season.
00:27They've won nine of their last 12.
00:29They're above 500 once again in the American League Central.
00:33What do you like today in the ALCS rematch in Cleveland?
00:37Yeah, Quan always seems like he's like a must-bet each and every night.
00:39And yesterday, hitting a home run as well at a pretty good price point.
00:42But this game doesn't have two good pitchers in it, which is good.
00:44That's why we like offense.
00:45But also 63-degree temperatures.
00:47It is on the cooler side.
00:48But how about a wind blowing out to right field at double digits, which always helps.
00:52Now, granted, would help much more if that was in the Bronx at that short porch.
00:55But it's not.
00:55More pitcher-friendly Cleveland.
00:57But if we are looking at the two pitchers, only one start here on the season for Clark
01:01Schmidt.
01:01Five and two-thirds innings pitch in ERA of close to five.
01:04And the XFIP number of 5.67.
01:05But again, it's hard to extrapolate what those numbers actually are.
01:08Four starts out of Gavin Williams in close to 20 innings pitched.
01:12He's also at a 4.5 ERA and a 4.34 XFIP number.
01:16You look at that Yankees lineup, which is so talented from top to bottom.
01:19Ben Rice at the top of the order.
01:203.26 ISO power number against right-handed pitching.
01:23We know what Aaron Judge can do.
01:24So, Bellinger and Goldschmidt, even though Goldschmidt's having a decent season, hasn't hit right-handed
01:28pitching all that well.
01:29Chisholm, Volpe, Wells, Grisham might be enough to overwhelm the starting pitcher in Gavin Williams.
01:34But if we take a look at the Cleveland batters going up against Clark Schmidt, you should get
01:37some damage done.
01:38And also, I love Cleveland.
01:40The versatility of that offense.
01:42Because look at what we're expecting today.
01:44Right-handed pitchers.
01:45You want to stack as many lefties as you can get.
01:47Kwan, lefty.
01:48Ramirez, lefty.
01:49Manzardo, lefty.
01:50Santana, lefty.
01:51Jones, lefty.
01:52Naylor, lefty.
01:53Rocchio, lefty.
01:54Like, you might have seven of nine batters today that can flip the switch and go to the opposite side
01:58of bat against Clark Schmidt, where he's had some trouble against lefties today.
02:01So, for my money, why not just look through a total in this game between both of these teams?
02:05Nine runs seems like a possibility.
02:07Both of these pitchers should be able to get hit today.

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