00:00USC Penn State was supposed to be a big one and look to some degree okay it is for it
00:09is to some
00:10degree it is because if USC win they go to six and one right like that's I mean that's pretty
00:18that's a big deal and when you look at that upcoming schedule hello Ohio State hello Indiana
00:25this is a gotta gotta gotta gotta gotta gotta have it here at Penn State no no no no argument
00:31about it for the Nittany Lions 0-2 in Big Ten play got absolutely embarrassed by Northwestern
00:41after blowing in a massive lead by Wisconsin the the issue I had here Dave is I don't like this
00:52Penn State team very much I was like oh maybe I could play USC I think there's an argument that
01:00this spot is the biggest home field advantage edge we will see all season because of how bad USC have
01:10been going east because this isn't happy valley at night right just the natural kind of Penn State
01:16bump that you get if an odds maker told me they gave Penn State five points for home field here
01:24yeah and at that point then I can't really argue that Penn State under a field goal is a bad
01:30play
01:30I backed off this one I maybe in game something will pop for me here but I respected the Penn
01:37State
01:37home field advantage as much as you possibly could yeah when I originally had my card going into
01:44yesterday I didn't have this game on it and and I actually got into the game late last night and
01:50added it to my card for some of the reasons you mentioned and for other reasons as well I think
01:54there is a bump with it being the whiteout game at night you know in Happy Valley they they you
02:00know
02:00won eight in a row in this spot before losing in overtime to Oregon last year which you know isn't
02:05the
02:05worst thing in the world you lost to a top 10 team in overtime you talked about USC traveling east
02:10and
02:11you know I'm a guy who likes to filter through the noise with some of the the trends and stuff
02:15and
02:15yeah any trend in college football that you say starts in 2013 you got to think for a minute well
02:20different team different error different coach 117 and one against the spread is not something to be
02:26joked about like literally 117 and one when USC has traveled to the central eastern time zones well okay
02:32well that's since 2013 did you watch the Rutgers game two weeks ago they almost lost to Rutgers in New
02:38Jersey because they don't travel well Penn State has been awful the last two weeks since losing wide
02:43receiver Kobe Howard is this a get right spot and Kevin what turned this game into getting onto my card
02:50you can throw out the travel ease and the white out game at night and all of that I like
02:56also looking
02:56at success and weaknesses the Trojans top thing that they have is their pass offense they're a good
03:04passing team well Penn State's one of the best pass defenses in the country top 10 in EPA allowed in
03:11success rate versus the pass so if Penn State is a top 10 passing defense and can shut down USC's
03:17passing game at home at night when USC is traveling and you're gonna tell me I get Penn State money
03:23line
03:23at minus 120 I'm going to take it on the other side you're right Penn State's looked awful their offenses
03:29look terrible what would you want to do with a terrible offense you would want to face a USC defense
03:35they're outside of the top 100 in every single defensive category known to man one of the worst
03:43defenses in the country that's a get right spot when you ask me so I'm on the Penn State money
03:48line
03:49it got on my card late last night I was excited about it money line at minus 120 minus 122
03:55I don't
03:55mind laying the one one and a half I just preferred the juice with the money line at night at
04:00home in
04:00happy valley it's not a game we thought would be you know on the bottom of our cards when it
04:05came to
04:06this but USC's troubles on the road troubles on defense and the one good thing they have going is
04:13something that Penn State can shut down Penn State last week against Northwestern allowed 413 rushing yards
04:26I think one of the weird things about like these great offensive minds weird is maybe not the right
04:32word um Kyle Shanahan right Lincoln Riley they I think they like running the ball more than throwing
04:39but like they're just you know they're great at scheming it all up kind of thing I do think USC
04:45will try
04:46to see hey can we challenge that run defense the way Northwestern did I think what is difficult for
04:54both of these programs though is the loser is gonna feel like I don't know if we can continue down
05:04this
05:04path now people might say hey that's early to give up on a Matt Campbell whatever you guys want to
05:13you
05:13know whatever whatever you want at Penn State but there were reasonable people thought this team had a
05:21soft enough schedule to crack the playoff and in five weeks the the thought is can we get a bowl
05:29game
05:31and I was one of those guys I came on I was one of those guys who said this team
05:35could
05:35accidentally win 10 games I did not have them going 0-2 in the Big Ten
05:39well
05:39and
05:39hello
05:39hello
05:39hello
05:39hello
