Top MLB Home Run Bets & Player Insights for Today's Slate

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00:00Tom, let's get after it here with Tom's Bombs, three players that you figure are going yard today.

00:05Yeah, let's get to Roman Anthony right off the top at plus 600 versus Mitch Keller.

00:10Right from the jump, I love the matchup versus Mitch Keller.

00:12I think the number is wrong on Roman Anthony.

00:14You know, Donnie, we talked about his hard contact rate, his barrel rate.

00:17I think this number should be at 425, 450.

00:20So as good as I think Roman Anthony is, I think the number is wrong on him.

00:23So I want to make a play on that number just as much as I want to be attacking Mitch Keller when it's all said and done.

00:27But Rowdy Tellez for the Rangers going up against JT Ginn.

00:30It is scorching hot out there in Sacramento.

00:33We absolutely love attacking that.

00:34The lefty-righty splits are there.

00:35JT Ginn is a good pitcher when it's all said and done.

00:37And the Rangers lineup all of a sudden, their score and runs when two of their best hitters, Simeon and Seager, are out.

00:42So we will go to Rowdy Tellez, a good number.

00:43And then Jorge Polanco, Donnie.

00:45We talked about the numbers for the Mariners going up against Tanner Bybee, how the hard contact rates are there.

00:51The barrel rates are there for all of them.

00:53And again, I said this was one of the most interesting games on the slate.

00:55I don't expect the Mariners to get swept.

00:57And I expect runs across the board against Tanner Bybee.

01:00All great numbers.

01:02Roman Anthony is my favorite, though.

01:04I love this, too.

01:05I love the way we're setting this up because we look at my home run props here.

01:07We have a lot of the same ballpark environments and the same feeling and thought of that process.

01:11Jock Peterson, left-handed batter.

01:12I went with him for a home run shot today.

01:14Hard contact rate, 68% over the past month.

01:16Bower rate of close to 14%.

01:18Ginn struggles with lefties here.

01:20And also, I think we're both just looking at the environment, saying, all right, just give me a guy that has a little bit of pop.

01:25Put me in a 96-degree weather temperature place, and I'll be just fine there.

01:29That's the one going with first.

01:30Jock Peterson at a plus 390 price.

01:32Eugenio Suarez.

01:34How about that?

01:35Going to go with a little action here for the Seattle Mariners, similar to Tom.

01:37I just think there's pop that's going to be available today.

01:40And at a price point, I couldn't pass up at a plus 420.

01:43And then Ian Happ of the Chicago Cubs.

01:45Why do I like this game?

01:46Well, I don't think Tanner Gordon's going to hold up, but also, it's the Chicago Cubs in Colorado, people.

01:51So, yes, the ball's going to travel more.

01:52Give me a half left-handers.

01:54Should be able to give Gordon some issues at a plus 255 price.

01:56So, when we're looking at some of these as they match up, just get us one each out of these three, and we'll be living large today, Tom.

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